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2008: A look ahead
Expectations for the LGBT community

by Matt Comer . Q-Notes staff
From almost-made-it legislation and Capitol Hill lobbying to youth activism and national movements for equality, 2007 laid the groundwork for real, substantive improvements for the national LGBT community. Now, it’s time to look forward to 2008 and the positive accomplishments we will hopefully see in this year.

Election 2008
Whether we end up with a president and Congress more attuned to our needs is just one (admittedly major) part of the issue. Also important is that our community’s concerns should play a large role in the 2008 elections whatever the eventual outcome. Throughout the primaries and presidential campaigns, candidates and the media will speak at length on LGBT issues including marriage, “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell,” employment non-discrimination, hate crimes and more. With these public discussions, more minds and hearts can be changed — or at least poked and prodded in the right direction.

Marriage Equality
Once again, the community will have to unite to fight an amendment battle, this time in Florida. Playing host to dozens of national interests on both sides of the debate, Floridians will hear lots of vitriolic rhetoric to scare them into constitutionalizing second-class citizenship for LGBT people. Anti-gay, religious right “marriage advocates” will be jumping for their chance to smear the queer marriage movement; LGBT and allied organizations will be working hard on the other side. To date, the pro-LGBT Florida Red and Blue has raised $2 million.

Employment Non-Discrimination
The Employment Non-Discrimination Act (ENDA) will continue to be a focal point for the LGBT community. Transgender protections are still excluded from the bill and more Capitol Hill wrangling over the legislation is likely to occur. Rumor has it that U.S. Rep. Barney Frank and other Democratic leaders will continue to push the trans-less version. ENDA must pass the Senate and be signed by the president to become law. Although the former may happen, don’t bet too much on the latter happening until a Democrat takes office in 2009.

Hate Crimes
In 2007, both the House and the Senate passed hate crimes legislation. In late November, however, the Senate dropped its version from the defense reauthorization bill, effectively killing the issue for the year. The likelihood of Bush signing any form of hate crimes legislation is infinitesimal, but at least the LGBT community might finally see the bill through Congress and onto the president’s desk.

Safe Schools

In May 2007, the N.C. House of Representatives passed the first LGBT-inclusive bill to ever make it through either chamber of the N.C. General Assembly. The bill, the School Violence Prevention Act, contained enumerated categories for protection, including specific safeguards on the basis of sexual orientation and gender-identity/expression. Once the measure was sent to the Senate, the categories were stripped out. House leaders have promised a conference report on the bill early this year. They say they’ll do all they can to get the enumerated categories — including the LGBT protections — put back in the bill. The legislation’s chief sponsor, Rep. Rick Glazier, said he’d never agree to a bill that didn’t include the specific protections. By the end of 2008, North Carolina just might have statewide school safety, anti-bullying and non-discrimination regulations for our LGBT youth.

Religious Right
While the national wingnut groups will work to shroud their hate and bigotry in pseudo-political terms (“special rights,” First Amendment protections, etc.), the anti-queer, on-the-streets radicals of the Carolinas will give us more fire-and-brimstone preaching and protesting. Expect groups like Operation Save America (OSA) and Coalition of Conscience (CoC) to be evangelizing outside the Human Rights Campaign Carolinas Gala in February, organizing more “forums” for “dialogue” (read: bashing), protesting at Pride events around the Carolinas and anywhere else that we gather to be ourselves.

“Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell”

The military gay ban signed by President Clinton in 1993 faced more criticism in 2007 than it has received since its inception. Gay servicemembers outed themselves; others were outed, booted and then spoke out; former and retired generals and other military leaders stood up for DADT’s repeal; and, all Democratic presidential candidates promised to scrap the policy. Expect 2008 to be no different. On the campaign trail, in the halls of Congress and in our neighborhood diners and hangout spots, DADT is going to be debated again and again. With each passing month and with each additional military leader who publicly denounces the policy, the result becomes more obvious. DADT will be repealed — if not in 2008, then sometime soon thereafter.

Community Organizing
Equality North Carolina and the South Carolina Equality Coalition have a lot of ground to cover in 2008. Equality NC is becoming a political powerhouse with their smart strategies and ability to forge alliances with legislative leaders in Raleigh. SCEC recently hired a new executive director, C. Ray Drew, with the national organizing experience to move South Carolina forward on issues like hate crimes legislation and non-discrimination. Utilizing Drew’s extensive lobbying and leadership experience and taking cues from what has worked in places like North Carolina, SCEC is poised to make real gains in Columbia. The advocacy of Elke Kennedy and her Sean’s Last Wish foundation should also prove to be significant. The Carolina’s LGBT community is well-positioned for advancement (even if in small steps) throughout 2008 and in years to come.

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